The currency pair EUR/JPY is a great risk-aversion indicator, and often a great tell for where equities will head. Below is Stockcharts chart with SPX in the top panel, EUR/JPY (as $XEU:$XJY) in the second panel, EUR/USD (as $XEU) in the third panel, and the US Dollar index in the bottom panel.
Note how sell offs in EUR/JPY correlate with (and even lead) sell offs in SPX.
Since early October, EUR/JPY has tested the 1.17 level five times, with each successful test leading to a short-term bottom in equities. EUR/JPY is again testing the 1.17 level. For the sixth time. A breakdown would portend further weakness in equities, but a succesfull test might mark another bottom in SPX.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment